第13届大选:马六甲迈向新政府13th General Election: Towards The New Government In Melaka
如果根据2008年308大选的投票率来做个简单的计算,2012年/2013年第13届全国大选,民联三党是有可能/将会执政马六甲州,而“新政府,新希望”即将实现。
If follow the voting results of 2008 Malaysia's General Election, Pakatan Rakyat in Melaka has a big chances to be the State Government of Melaka.
以下是根据全马六甲28个州选区,2008年308大选成绩和投票率来计算:
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民联在2008年308大选时,已经赢的5个选区:
Pakatan Rakyat already won in these 5 seats:
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N15 Bachang
N16 Ayer Keroh
N19 Kesidang
N20 Kota Laksamana
N22 Bandar Hilir
民联只要再赢取28州选区之中的其中另外10席,民联就能执政马六甲。
Only another 10 seats to be won, then Pakatan Rakyat should be the State Government of Melaka.
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只要多400~1000张选票,民联就会赢的选区 (共有8个州选区):
There are only 400 to 1000 votes needed for Pakatan Rakat on these 8 seats:
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N1 Kuala Linggi (Masjid Tanah)
回教党候选人得2,491票--只要多989个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,028张,2008年国阵多数票1,977张,2012年??)
PAS won 2,491 votes (only 989 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 4,028 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,977 on 2008.
N4 Lendu (Masjid Tanah)
回教党候选人得2,165票--只要多817个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票3,259张,2008年国阵多数票1,633张,2012年??)
PAS won 2,165 votes (only 817 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 3,259 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,633 on 2008.
N8 Machap (Alor Gajah)
公正党候选人得3,068票--只要多820个人投公正党,公正党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,562张,2008年国阵多数票1,639张,2012年??)
PKR won 3,068 votes (only 820 votes needed to be won for PKR)
BN won Majority of 4,562 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,639 on 2008.
N9 Durian Tunggal (Alor Gajah)
回教党候选人得2,841票--只要多739个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票2,660张,2008年国阵多数票1,476张,2012年??)
PAS won 2,841 votes (only 739 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 2,660 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,476 on 2008.
N13 Paya Rumput (Tangga Batu)
公正党候选人得5,687票--只要多948个人投公正党,公正党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票6,474张,2008年国阵多数票1,894张,2012年??)
PKR won 5,687 votes (only 989 votes needed to be won for PKR)
BN won Majority of 6,474 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,894 on 2008.
N14 Kelebang (Tangga Batu)
行动党候选人得5,288票--只要多652个人投行动党,行动党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,177张,2008年国阵多数票1,303张,2012年??)
DAP won 5,288 votes (only 652 votes needed to be won for DAP)
BN won Majority of 4,177 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,303 on 2008.
N21 Duyung (Kota Melaka)
行动候选人得5,636票--只要多404个人投行动党,行动党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票3,282张,2008年国阵多数票806张,2012年??)
DAP won 5,636 votes (only 404 votes needed to be won for DAP)
BN won Majority of 3,282 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 806 on 2008.
N25 Rim (Jasin)
公正候选人得2,679票--只要多819个人投公正党,公正党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票3,950张,2008年国阵多数票1,637张,2012年??)
PKR won 2,679 votes (only 819 votes needed to be won for PKR)
BN won Majority of 3,950 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 1,637 on 2008.
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只要多1001~1200张选票,民联就会赢的选区 (共有6个州选区):
There are only 1001 to 1200 votes needed for Pakatan Rakat on these 6 seats:
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N5 Taboh Naning (Masjid Tanah)
回教党候选人得1,626票--只要多1,124个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票3,571张,2008年国阵多数票2,247张,2012年??)
PAS won 1,626 votes (only 1,124 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 3,571 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,247 on 2008.
N10 Asahan (Alor Gajah)
回教党候选人得3,772票--只要多1,090个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,455张,2008年国阵多数票2,178张,2012年??)
PAS won 3,772 votes (only 1,090 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 4,455 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,178 on 2008.
N23 Telok Mas (Kota Melaka)
回教党候选人得4,890票--只要多1,120个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,566张,2008年国阵多数票2,239张,2012年??)
PAS won 4,890 votes (only 1,120 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 4,566 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,239 on 2008.
N24 Bemban (Jasin)
行动党候选人得3,890票--只要多1,071个人投行动党,行动党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,438张,2008年国阵多数票2,141张,2012年??)
DAP won 3,890 votes (only 1,071 votes needed to be won for DAP)
BN won Majority of 4,438 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,141 on 2008.
N27 Merlimau (Jasin)
回教候选人得2,827票--只要多1,078个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票5,087张,2008年国阵多数票2,154张,2012年??)
PAS won 2,827 votes (only 1,078 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 5,087 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,154 on 2008.
N28 Sungai Rambai (Jasin)
回教候选人得2,606票--只要多1,134个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票3,068张,2008年国阵多数票2,266张,2012年??)
PAS won 2,606 votes (only 1,134 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 3,068 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,266 on 2008.
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只要多1200~1500张选票,民联就会赢的选区 (共有5个州选区):
There are 1200 to 1500 votes needed for Pakatan Rakat on these 5 seats:
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N12 Pantai Kundur (Tangga Batu)
回教党候选人得3,283票--只要多1,267个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,152张,2008年国阵多数票2,533张,2012年??)
PAS won 3,283 votes (only 1,267 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 4,152 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,533 on 2008.
N17 Bukit Baru (Bukit Katil)
回教候选人得4,936票--只要多1,355个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票5,992张,2008年国阵多数票2,708张,2012年??)
PAS won 4,936 votes (only 1,355 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 5,992 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,708 on 2008.
N18 Ayer Molek (Bukit Katil)
回教党候选人得3,654票--只要多1,390个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票3,857张,2008年国阵多数票2,779张,2012年??)
PAS won 3,654 votes (only 1,390 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 3,857 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,779 on 2008.
N26 Serkam (Jasin)
回教候选人得4,178票--只要多1,410个人投回教党,回教党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,347张,2008年国阵多数票2,819张,2012年??)
PAS won 4,178 votes (only 1,410 votes needed to be won for PAS)
BN won Majority of 4,347 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,819 on 2008.
N6 Rembia (Alor Gajah)
公正党候选人得2,763票--只要多1,422个人投公正党,公正党候选人就赢了。
(2004年国阵多数票4,776张,2008年国阵多数票2,842张,2012年??)
PKR won 2,763 votes (only 1,422 votes needed to be won for PKR)
BN won Majority of 4,776 votes on 2004, but BN only won Majority of 2,842 on 2008.
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